Gestational diabetes & diabetes in pregnancy

Future diabetes risk can be predicted by the number of abnormal oral glucose tolerance test values during pregnancy

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished Population-based retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

GD is a heterogenous disease, with varying degrees of glucose intolerance and subsequent T2D risk. Targeting interventions to women at the highest risk may help to improve postpartum adherence and effective long-term follow-up strategies.

Study context

Population
Pregnant women tested for gestational diabetes (GD) with a 100-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) (0, 60, 120, 180 min) in a large health maintenance organization in Israel9,939 met criteria
Participants
10,023 women
Exposure
GD vs no GD; number of abnormal 100-g OGTT values
Outcome
Future T2D
Follow-up
Median 3.25 years (IQR 1.5-5.1; maximum 10.1)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Each group vs without GDHazard ratio (95% CI)
GD
5.33(3.86–7.34)
Four abnormal OGTT valueshighest risk
16.67(7.94–35.01)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Future T2D by type of OGTT abnormality

Abnormal fasting value (greatest risk), HR
3.61 (2.42-5.38) (95% CI)
Abnormal 3-hour value (lowest risk), HR
1.50 (0.93-2.43) (95% CI)

Multivariate predictors of future T2D

Higher number of abnormal values, Arab ethnicity, higher BMI, TG and prepregnancy glucose significantly associated with increased risk
  • Multivariate model

Original publication

Future diabetes risk can be predicted by the number of abnormal oral glucose tolerance test values during pregnancy. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 19 December 2023. doi:10.1111/dom.15406

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