Type 2 & other diabetes

Trends in the incidence of young-adult-onset diabetes by diabetes type: a multi-national population-based study from an international diabetes consortium

Lancet Diabetes EndocrinolPublished Multicountry population-based aggregate data analysis

Authors' conclusion

There is variability in the trajectory of the incidence of young-adult-onset type 2 diabetes among high-income countries or jurisdictions, with a greater evidence of increase in Asian than non-Asian countries. Evolving trends in the incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes in young adults call for the ongoing surveillance of diabetes incidence and a greater research focus on this population.

Study context

Population
People aged 15–39 years in 8 high-income jurisdictions (Australia, Denmark, Finland, Hungary, Japan, Scotland, South Korea, Spain [Catalonia]), GLOBODIAB consortium, 2000–20208 datasets
Outcome
Secular trends in incidence of diagnosed T1D and T2D with age of onset 15–39 years
Follow-up
2000-20
Methodological detailsmulti-national, 8 administrative datasets, Poisson regression
  • Multi-national
  • 8 administrative datasets
  • Poisson regression

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

T1D incidence significantly increased in Australia, Denmark, Finland, Scotland, South Korea and Spain; annual changes

0.5% to 6.0%

T2D incidence significantly increased in 4 of 8 jurisdictions (Denmark, Finland, Japan, South Korea); annual increases

2.0% to 8.5%

T2D incidence significantly decreased in Scotland; annual change

−0.7%

T2D incidence significantly decreased in Spain; annual change

−1.5%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Trends in the incidence of young-adult-onset diabetes by diabetes type: a multi-national population-based study from an international diabetes consortium. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. Published 11 November 2024. doi:10.1016/s2213-8587(24)00243-2

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