Diabetes complications

Sex-specific and BMI-specific associations between visceral fat and diabetic kidney disease in patients with diabetes: a large-scale multicentre prospective cohort study

Lancet Diabetes EndocrinolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

VFA is a significant risk factor for diabetic kidney disease, exhibiting distinct sex-specific patterns that persist across BMI strata. These findings support precise clinical risk stratification and identify low-VFA men as a previously overlooked high-risk population.

Study context

Population
Adults with diabetes without prevalent DKD at baseline, 640 centres of the China Metabolic Management Center (MMC) project; median age 55.0 years, 61.9% malefinal analytical cohort
Participants
93,532 adults
Exposure
Visceral fat area (VFA) categories, stratified by sex and BMI
Outcome
Incident DKD: albuminuria (urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio ≥3.39 mg/mmol) or eGFR <60 mL/min per 1.73m2
Follow-up
Median 18.4 months (IQR 9.4-32.3)
Methodological detailsmulticentre, large-scale, VFA measured by bioelectrical impedance analysis
  • Multicentre
  • Large-scale
  • VFA measured by bioelectrical impedance analysis

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident DKD by VFA
Developed DKD
27 486 (29.4%) of 93 532
VFA per IQR (52 cm²), aHR
1.08 (95% CI 1.05-1.10; p<0.0001)
Men, VFA ≤50 cm², aHR (1.06-1.19; p=0.0002)
1.12
Men, VFA 100-125 cm², aHR (1.01-1.11; p=0.013)
1.06
Women, VFA 75-100 cm², aHR (1.03-1.14; p=0.0014)
1.09

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

DKD by VFA in men without overweight (BMI <24 kg/m²)

VFA ≤50 cm², aHR
1.12 (95% CI 1.04-1.21; p=0.0045)
VFA >125 cm², aHR (1.09-1.44; p=0.0019)
1.25

DKD by VFA in men with overweight (BMI 24-28 kg/m²)

VFA ≤50 cm², aHR
1.15 (95% CI 1.01-1.31; p=0.039)
VFA 100-125 cm², aHR (1.02-1.18; p=0.010)
1.10
VFA >125 cm², aHR (1.06-1.24; p=0.0005)
1.15

DKD by VFA in men with obesity (BMI ≥28 kg/m²)

VFA ≤50 cm², aHR
2.15 (95% CI 1.44-3.23; p=0.0002)
VFA >125 cm², aHR (1.20-1.42; p<0.0001)
1.31
Risk significantly elevated across all VFA categories, highest at both extremes

DKD by VFA in women by BMI

Without overweight, VFA 75-100 cm², aHR
1.10 (95% CI 1.02-1.19; p=0.011)
With overweight, VFA 75-100 cm², aHR (1.02-1.17; p=0.011)
1.10
With obesity, VFA 50-75 cm², aHR
1.22 (95% CI 1.02-1.46; p=0.033)

Original publication

Sex-specific and BMI-specific associations between visceral fat and diabetic kidney disease in patients with diabetes: a large-scale multicentre prospective cohort study. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. Published May 2026. doi:10.1016/s2213-8587(26)00001-x

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