Obesity

One hundred‐year secular trends of overweight and obesity in China: effects of age, period, and cohort

Obesity (Silver Spring)Published Repeated cross-sectional study with age-period-cohort analysis

Authors' conclusion

Overweight and obesity trends in China have shown a distinctive increasing-decreasing-increasing pattern over the past 100 years. These patterns exhibit unique characteristics and are influenced by discernible social forces.

Study context

Population
Chinese adults; China Health and Nutrition Survey and Chinese General Social Survey, 1909–2021
Outcome
Secular trend of overweight and obesity prevalence
Follow-up
Past 100 years
Methodological detailsnationwide, generalized binary mixed-effects model, weighted quantile sum model
  • Nationwide
  • Generalized binary mixed-effects model
  • Weighted quantile sum model

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prevalence of overweight (obesity) among Chinese adults · 1993 to 2021

Overweight prevalence, 1993 → 2021

20.65% → 55.33%

Obesity prevalence, 1993 → 2021

3.10% → 19.26%

Increase in overweight (obesity) prevalence

2.68 (6.21) times

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Birth-cohort risk of overweight and obesity

Cultural Revolution cohorts (1960-1974): lowest risk, associated with low protein intake and high physical activity
Reform and Opening-Up cohorts (1975-2003): high risk, related to favorable socioeconomic status and rapid urbanization

Differences by sex and socioeconomic status

Persistent differences by sex and emerging differences by socioeconomic status in prevalence

Original publication

One hundred‐year secular trends of overweight and obesity in China: effects of age, period, and cohort. Obesity (Silver Spring). Published 5 November 2024. doi:10.1002/oby.24134

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