Type 2 & other diabetes

A Minimized Measurement Scheme for Predicting Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) Using Discrete Self-Monitoring Blood Glucose Data Within 4 Weeks for People with Type 2 Diabetes

Diabetes Technol TherPublished Prediction model development study

Authors' conclusion

A minimized calculation model for accurately and robustly predicting HbA1c using discrete self-monitoring of blood glucose data within 4 weeks for people with T2D has been established and provides a new reference for the design of a scheme for blood glucose monitoring.

Study context

Population
People with T2D; diabetes care clinic of Peking University First Hospital∼420,000 glucose, 10,000 HbA1c values
Participants
2,432 people
Comparison
Multiple blood glucose monitoring schemes compared; chosen model vs previous studies
Outcome
Accuracy of HbA1c prediction (MAE, root mean square error, R value) from discrete SMBG values
Follow-up
Last 4 weeks before HbA1c prediction
Methodological detailsregularized extreme learning machine, two data sets, 2017–2022
  • Regularized extreme learning machine
  • Two data sets, 2017–2022

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Data fitting of the chosen scheme

R

0.8029

P < 0.001

Mean absolute error (MAE)

0.3181%

95% CI 0.2666–0.3695%

Minimum SMBG needed in last 4 weeks: fasting and postprandial values (one each per 4 days)

7 fasting + 7 postprandial

Further findings

Comparison with previous studies

Better accuracy and stability than previous studies, especially in the great glucose fluctuation group
P < 0.05

Original publication

A Minimized Measurement Scheme for Predicting HbA1c Using Discrete Self-Monitoring Blood Glucose Data Within 4 Weeks for People with Type 2 Diabetes. Diabetes Technol Ther. Published 3 January 2024. doi:10.1089/dia.2023.0381

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