Diabetes complications

Incidence and predictors of distal symmetrical polyneuropathy in prediabetes: A 24-month prospective cohort study

Diabetes Res Clin PractPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

We observed a 9.8% 24-month incidence of DSPN in people with prediabetes. Age, male sex, smoking, central obesity, as well as insulin resistance at baseline and change over time were independent predictors of incident DSPN.

Study context

Population
Adults with prediabetes attending the Outpatient Lipid and Obesity Clinic, University Hospital of Ioannina, Greece133 without distal symmetrical polyneuropathy (DSPN) at baseline
Participants
160 adults
Outcome
Incidence of DSPN (assessed by neuropathy symptom score (NSS), neuropathy disability score (NDS) and vibration perception threshold (VPT))
Follow-up
Median 24 months
Methodological detailssingle-centre
  • Single-centre

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident DSPN · 24 months (IQR 20-27)

Developed DSPN among 133 participants without baseline DSPN

13

Incidence of DSPN

9.8%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

DSPN at baseline

DSPN at baseline
27 (16.9%)

Independent predictors of incident DSPN (multivariable analysis)

Age, OR per 1-year increase
1.11 (1.02-1.24) (95% CI)
Male sex, OR
1.07 (1.01-3.28) (95% CI)
Current/previous smoking, OR
1.17 (1.07-3.03) (95% CI)
Waist circumference, OR per 1-cm increase
1.04 (1.02-1.28) (95% CI)
Homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), OR per 0.1-increase
1.83 (1.03-2.46) (95% CI)
ΔHOMA-IR, OR per 0.1 increase
1.46 (1.07-2.46) (95% CI)
  • All p < 0.05

Original publication

Incidence and predictors of distal symmetrical polyneuropathy in prediabetes: A 24-month prospective cohort study. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. Published 13 August 2026. doi:10.1016/j.diabres.2026.113494

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