Obesity

External validation of a prediction model for estimating fat mass in Arab children and adolescents

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished External validation study of a prediction model

Authors' conclusion

The model explained a large proportion of the variance in FM, produced well-calibrated predictions and relatively low RMSEs in Arab settings. It predicted FM more accurately than bioimpedance, indicating its potential for implementation in clinical- and population-level settings, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.

Study context

Population
Kuwaiti, Lebanese and Moroccan children/adolescents aged 6–15 years with complete predictor data and fat-free mass by deuterium dilution
Participants
471 participants3 cross-sectional studies
Comparison
Prediction model vs reference standard deuterium dilution; bioimpedance vs reference in Lebanese children
Outcome
Predictive performance (R2, calibration slope, calibration-in-the-large, RMSE) for log transformed fat-free mass (lnFFM)
Methodological detailsdata from three cross-sectional studies, random-effects meta-analysis of country-specific performance
  • Data from three cross-sectional studies
  • Random-effects meta-analysis of country-specific performance

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Pooled predictive performance on original lnFFM scale

Pooled R2

87.73%

95% CI 77.20, 98.26%

Pooled calibration slope (ideal 1)

0.95

95% CI 0.83, 1.08

Pooled calibration-in-the-large (ideal 0)

−0.03

95% CI −0.16, 0.11

Further findings

RMSE on FM scale after intercept recalibration · intercepts recalibrated in each country

Root mean square error (RMSE) of bioimpedance in Lebanese children

Bioimpedance RMSE (higher than model)
2.4 kg

Original publication

External validation of a prediction model for estimating fat mass in Arab children and adolescents. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 25 February 2025. doi:10.1111/dom.16281

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