Type 2 & other diabetes

Estimated Glucose Disposal Rate and Risk of Vascular Events and Death in Type 2 Diabetes in the ADVANCE Study

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished Secondary analysis of the ADVANCE randomised trial

Primary result · Composite major macrovascular and microvascular eventResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 0.72 95% CI 0.62–0.84

Authors' conclusion

These findings highlight the value of eGDR as a prognostic marker for T2D. Intensive glucose- and BP-lowering treatments remain beneficial regardless of insulin resistance status.

Study context

Population
Participants with T2D from 20 countries in the ADVANCE trial; Estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) derived from waist circumference, hypertension status and HbA1ceGDR in 11,081
Participants
11,140 participants
Comparison
Highest vs lowest quarter of eGDR
Primary endpoint
Composite:
  • Major macrovascular
  • Microvascular event
Follow-up
Median 5 years
Methodological details20 countries, multivariable Cox models
  • 20 countries
  • Multivariable Cox models

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

median 5 years

Hazard ratio

0.72

95% CI 0.62–0.84

Highest quarter of eGDRvs Lowest quarter of eGDR
HR 0.72 (95% CI 0.62–0.84)
Major macrovascular or microvascular event, all participants
2117 (19.1%)

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
Major macrovascular events0.68 (0.55–0.85)
Major microvascular events0.78 (0.63–0.96)
All-cause mortality0.69 (0.55–0.86)
CV mortality0.62 (0.45–0.85)

Effect modification by eGDR quarter

No significant effect modification across eGDR quarters for efficacy or safety of intensive glucose control (vs standard) or blood pressure (BP)-lowering (vs placebo)

Original publication

Estimated Glucose Disposal Rate and Risk of Vascular Events and Death in Type 2 Diabetes in the ADVANCE Study. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 9 March 2026. doi:10.1111/dom.70608

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