Gestational diabetes & diabetes in pregnancy

Deteriorating beta cell function is the dominant determinant of progression from normal glucose tolerance to prediabetes/diabetes in young women following pregnancy

DiabetologiaPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Declining beta cell function is the dominant determinant of incident prediabetes/diabetes in young women following pregnancy.

Study context

Population
Women with normal glucose tolerance on OGTT at 3 months postpartum, spanning normoglycaemia to gestational diabetes in pregnancy
Participants
302 women
Exposure
Progressors vs non-progressors to prediabetes/diabetes
  • Progressorsn = 89
Outcome
Determinants of incident prediabetes/diabetes, ranked by change in concordance index (CCI) of Cox proportional hazard models
Follow-up
5 years postpartum
Methodological detailsserial OGTT at 3 months, 1 year, 3 years and 5 years postpartum
  • Serial OGTT at 3 months, 1 year, 3 years and 5 years postpartum

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Change in CCI for progression to prediabetes/diabetes (time-varying determinants) · over 5 years

Time-varying ISSI-2

25.2%

Time-varying IGI/HOMA-IR

13.0%

Time-varying Matsuda index

2.9%

Time-varying HOMA-IR

0.5%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeP value
Characteristics at 3 months postpartum, progressors vs non-progressorsProgressors vs Non-progressors · higher fasting glucose in progressorsP = 0.03
Characteristics at 3 months postpartum, progressors vs non-progressorsProgressors vs Non-progressors · higher 2 h glucose in progressorsP < 0.0001
Characteristics at 3 months postpartum, progressors vs non-progressorsProgressors vs Non-progressors · higher BMI in progressorsP = 0.001
Characteristics at 3 months postpartum, progressors vs non-progressorsProgressors vs Non-progressorsP ≤ 0.02
Characteristics at 3 months postpartum, progressors vs non-progressorsProgressors vs Non-progressorsP ≤ 0.006
  • Characteristics at 3 months postpartum, progressors vs non-progressors: greater insulin resistance (Matsuda index and HOMA-IR) in progressors
  • Characteristics at 3 months postpartum, progressors vs non-progressors: poorer beta cell function (ISSI-2 and IGI/HOMA-IR) in progressors

Beta cell function trajectory · 1 year to 5 years

Progressors, unlike peers, had deteriorating beta cell function (both p<0.0001)

Original publication

Deteriorating beta cell function is the dominant determinant of progression from normal glucose tolerance to prediabetes/diabetes in young women following pregnancy. Diabetologia. Published 24 August 2023. doi:10.1007/s00125-023-05994-5

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