Reproductive endocrinology

Central tibia marrow density is associated with incident fractures among postmenopausal females

J Bone Miner ResPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Our findings suggested that central tibia marrow density as quantified by pQCT is a proxy for marrow composition that reveals important 4 to 7-yr risk of fragility fractures among postmenopausal females. These results highlight the potential of marrow density as a separate risk factor for fractures from bone density, warranting further investigation as a potential contributor to fracture risk pending external validation.

Study context

Population
Postmenopausal females aged 60–85 yr, Appendicular Muscle and Bone Extension Research Study (AMBERS) cohort
Participants
312 females
Exposure
Lower vs higher tibial marrow density
Outcome
Time to first X-ray-confirmed incident fragility fracture
Follow-up
7 years
Methodological detailslongitudinal, Cox proportional hazards models, competing risk (against mortality), conditional Cox models, adjusted for age, BMI, diabetes/hypertension, hypo/hyperthyroidism, antiresorptive usage, osteoarthritis, physical activity, lumbar spine BMD and trabecular tissue mineral density
  • Longitudinal
  • Cox proportional hazards models
  • Competing risk (against mortality)
  • Conditional Cox models
  • Adjusted for age, BMI, diabetes/hypertension, hypo/hyperthyroidism, antiresorptive usage, osteoarthritis, physical activity, lumbar spine BMD and trabecular tissue mineral density

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident fragility fracture · median follow-up 83.9(24.8) months

Incident fracture

41

13.1%

Lower central marrow density, distal slice: HR per SD

1.81(1.21, 2.71) (CI level not stated)

Lower central marrow density, proximal slice: HR

1.58(1.06, 2.36) (CI level not stated)

Peripheral marrow density, intermediate vs highest levels: increased fracture risk

2.65(1.19, 5.92) (CI level not stated)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Central tibia marrow density is associated with incident fractures among postmenopausal females. J Bone Miner Res. Published 9 June 2026. doi:10.1093/jbmr/zjag096

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