Type 2 & other diabetes

Associations of triglyceride–glucose index cumulative exposure and variability with the transitions from normoglycaemia to prediabetes and prediabetes to diabetes: Insights from a cohort study

Diabetes Res Clin PractPublished Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Higher cumTyG exposure independently predicts prediabetes and diabetes incidence. Coexisting cumTyG and variability could further yield incrementally greater risks.

Study context

Population
Health check-up participants with 3 sequential health examinations during 2012–2016, followed up 2017–2021two subcohorts
Participants
9,373 vs 4,563
Exposure
Higher vs lower cumulative triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and TyG variability
  • Normoglycaemia to prediabetes subcohortn = 9,373
  • Prediabetes to diabetes subcohortn = 4,563
Outcome
Newly incident prediabetes or diabetes
Methodological detailshealth check-up cohort, 3 sequential health examinations 2012-2016, follow-up 2017-2021
  • Health check-up cohort
  • 3 sequential health examinations 2012-2016, follow-up 2017-2021

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediabetes subcohort: developed prediabetes over a 2.42-year follow-up

2,074

Higher Cumulative TyG (cumTyG) and prediabetes risk, HR

2.02

95% CI 1.70–2.41

Diabetes subcohort: developed diabetes over a 3.0-year follow-up

379

Higher cumTyG and diabetes risk, HR

3.54

95% CI 2.29–5.46

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

cumTyG+variability combination had the highest predictive value for prediabetes and diabetes beyond a single baseline TyG measurement

Original publication

Associations of triglyceride–glucose index cumulative exposure and variability with the transitions from normoglycaemia to prediabetes and prediabetes to diabetes: Insights from a cohort study. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. Published 24 September 2024. doi:10.1016/j.diabres.2024.111867

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