Type 2 & other diabetes

Sugar-sweetened or artificially sweetened beverage consumption, physical activity and risk of type 2 diabetes in US adults

DiabetologiaPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Even when individuals were physically active, a higher consumption of SSBs or ASBs was associated with a higher risk of type 2 diabetes. Meeting physical activity guidelines reduced the impact of SSB and ASB consumption on diabetes risk, underscoring the need to promote physical activity as part of lifestyle modifications to lower diabetes incidence.

Study context

Population
US women (Nurses' Health Study 1980–2016; Nurses' Health Study II 1991–2017) and men (Health Professionals Follow-up Study 1986–2016)5,105,351 person-years
Exposure
SSB or ASB consumption, alone and jointly with physical activity
Outcome
Incident T2D, confirmed by validated supplementary questionnaire
Methodological detailsthree cohorts: Nurses' Health Study, Nurses' Health Study II, Health Professionals Follow-up Study, multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression, SSB and ASB intake from food-frequency questionnaires every 4 years; physical activity collected biennially
  • Three cohorts: Nurses' Health Study, Nurses' Health Study II, Health Professionals Follow-up Study
  • Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression
  • SSB and ASB intake from food-frequency questionnaires every 4 years; physical activity collected biennially

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

T2D
Each group vs never or rarelyHazard ratio (95% CI)
SSB ≥2 servings/day41% higher risk
1.41(1.33–1.50)
ASB ≥2 servings/day11% higher risk
1.11(1.07–1.16)
New T2D cases
19,940

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
Type 2 diabetes, joint SSB consumption and physical activity, among those meeting physical activity guidelines (≥7.5 MET h/week)Meeting physical activity guidelines, ≥2 servings/week of SSBsvs Meeting physical activity guidelines, never or rarely (<1 serving/month)22% higher risk1.22 (1.15–1.29)
Type 2 diabetes, joint SSB consumption and physical activity, among those meeting physical activity guidelines (≥7.5 MET h/week)Meeting physical activity guidelines, 1-4 servings/month of SSBsvs Meeting physical activity guidelines, <1 SSB serving/month9% higher risk1.09 (1.02–1.15)
Type 2 diabetes, joint ASB consumption and physical activity, among those meeting physical activity guidelinesMeeting physical activity guidelines, ≥2 servings/week of ASBsvs Meeting physical activity guidelines, never or rarely (<1 serving/month)7% higher risk1.07 (1.02–1.12)
Type 2 diabetes, not meeting physical activity guidelines (<7.5 MET h/week) by SSB intake vs reference (met guidelines, <1 SSB serving/month)Not meeting guidelines, never or rarely (<1 serving/month) SSBsvs Reference group1.22 (1.13–1.31)
Type 2 diabetes, not meeting physical activity guidelines (<7.5 MET h/week) by SSB intake vs reference (met guidelines, <1 SSB serving/month)Not meeting guidelines, 1-4 SSB servings/monthvs Reference group1.28 (1.20–1.37)
Type 2 diabetes, not meeting physical activity guidelines (<7.5 MET h/week) by SSB intake vs reference (met guidelines, <1 SSB serving/month)Not meeting guidelines, ≥2 SSB servings/weekvs Reference group1.51 (1.43–1.61)
Type 2 diabetes, not meeting physical activity guidelines by ASB intake vs reference (met guidelines, <1 ASB serving/month)Not meeting guidelines, never or rarely (<1 serving/month) ASBsvs Reference group1.21 (1.14–1.28)
Type 2 diabetes, not meeting physical activity guidelines by ASB intake vs reference (met guidelines, <1 ASB serving/month)Not meeting guidelines, 1-4 ASB servings/monthvs Reference group1.21 (1.13–1.30)
Type 2 diabetes, not meeting physical activity guidelines by ASB intake vs reference (met guidelines, <1 ASB serving/month)Not meeting guidelines, ≥2 ASB servings/weekvs Reference group1.30 (1.23–1.37)

Original publication

Sugar-sweetened or artificially sweetened beverage consumption, physical activity and risk of type 2 diabetes in US adults. Diabetologia. Published 8 January 2025. doi:10.1007/s00125-024-06351-w

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