Diabetes complications

Screening Natriuretic Peptide Levels Predicts Heart Failure and Death in Individuals With Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Without Known Heart Failure

Diabetes CarePublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Increased NP levels among individuals with diabetes are highly prognostic for future risk of HF or mortality. These findings support the implementation of NP screening for HF risk assessment in people with diabetes.

Study context

Population
Adults (≥18 years) with T1D or T2D without known heart failure (HF) who received an outpatient NP test, 2017–2023; 54% female, median age 64 years, mean HbA1c 7.1%2,990 T1D
Participants
116,466 adults
Exposure
N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels 125-300 pg/mL and >300 pg/mL vs <125 pg/mL
Outcome
Incident HF or death
Follow-up
Up to 7 years
Methodological detailsde-identified claims/EHR data (Optum Market Clarity), multivariable Cox proportional hazard models
  • De-identified claims/EHR data (Optum Market Clarity)
  • Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident HF or mortality, adjusted HR by NT-proBNP level
Each group vs NT-proBNP <125 pg/mLHazard ratio (95% CI)
NT-proBNP 125-300 pg/mLT1D
2.04(1.35–3.07)
NT-proBNP >300 pg/mLT1D
4.48(3.11–6.47)
NT-proBNP 125-300 pg/mLT2D
1.85(1.74–1.97)
NT-proBNP >300 pg/mLT2D
3.58(3.39–3.78)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

BNP ≥50 pg/mL or NT-proBNP ≥125 pg/mL (prevalence) · baseline

T1D
≈39.6%
T2D
42.3%

BNP and incident HF or mortality

Similar findings were observed for BNP

Original publication

Screening Natriuretic Peptide Levels Predicts Heart Failure and Death in Individuals With Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Without Known Heart Failure. Diabetes Care. Published 30 October 2025. doi:10.2337/dc25-1260

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