Diabetes complications

Retinopathy prevalence, incidence and trajectories in type 2 diabetes: The Fremantle diabetes study phase II

Diabet MedPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The low incidence of at least moderate NPDR reflects the trajectory analysis. The currently recommended biennial retinal screening frequency for individuals without DR could potentially be extended.

Study context

Population
Participants with T2D in Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II, recruited 2008–2011, with gradable baseline retinal photographs; mean age 65.6 years, 52.1% males, median diabetes duration 9.0 years
Participants
1,521 participants
Outcome
DR prevalence at baseline and cumulative incidence of moderate NPDR or worse in those without baseline DR
Follow-up
Up to 6 years
Methodological detailscommunity-based, biennial assessments, group-based trajectory modelling
  • Community-based
  • Biennial assessments
  • Group-based trajectory modelling

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

DR prevalence and incidence

Baseline diabetic retinopathy (DR) prevalence

563

37.0%

Without baseline DR who developed at least moderate non-proliferative DR (NPDR) (median 6.1 years follow-up)

23

3.2%

Crude incidence of at least moderate NPDR

6.1/1000 person-years

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Predictor of incident moderate NPDR or worse: HbA1c per 1% (11 mmol/mol) increase

OR (95% CI), HbA1c sole independent predictor
1.62 [1.30-2.02]

DR trajectory groups

Baseline/persistent DR
20%
Remaining DR free
80%
Longer diabetes duration, insulin use, higher mean HbA1c, systolic BP and urinary albumin:creatinine ratio increased odds of persistent DR trajectory
P ≤ 0.014

Original publication

Retinopathy prevalence, incidence and trajectories in type 2 diabetes: The Fremantle diabetes study phase II. Diabet Med. Published 30 December 2022. doi:10.1111/dme.15032

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