Type 2 & other diabetes

The relationship between plasma sphingosine-1-phosphate, plasma apolipoprotein M, obesity, and the risk of incident type 2 diabetes: a prospective cohort study

Int J Obes (Lond)Published Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Plasma S1P and ApoM are both associated with obesity. However, only plasma S1P is a good predictive biomarker for incident T2D, underscoring its potential for early risk assessment and intervention.

Study context

Population
Individuals without diabetes at baseline, Taiwan Lifestyle Study (initiated 2006); abdominal fat by CT, plasma S1P and apolipoprotein M (ApoM) by ELISA
Participants
1,207 individuals
Exposure
Plasma S1P and ApoM levels and risk of incident T2D
Outcome
Incident T2D
Follow-up
Average 5.93 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Participants who developed diabetes

152

Plasma S1P predicting diabetes, adjusted models: HR (95% CI 0.35-0.77), p = 0.001

0.52

Plasma ApoM predicting diabetes, adjusted models (not significant): HR (95% CI 0.94-1.43), p = 0.170

1.16

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Correlation with abdominal fat

Plasma S1P correlated with visceral, peritoneal and retroperitoneal fat
all p < 0.001
ApoM correlated with total, subcutaneous and visceral fat
all p < 0.001

Predictive model incorporating S1P

AUC
0.7698
Concordance statistic
0.7637
Outperformed traditional risk factors

Original publication

The relationship between plasma sphingosine-1-phosphate, plasma apolipoprotein M, obesity, and the risk of incident type 2 diabetes: a prospective cohort study. Int J Obes (Lond). Published 26 August 2025. doi:10.1038/s41366-025-01890-7

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