Thyroid disease

RAS -Mutated Cytologically Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: Prevalence of Malignancy and Behavior Under Active Surveillance

ThyroidPublished Multicenter retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

We describe the behavior of RAS-mutant ITNs under AS and find that most demonstrate stability over time. Of the resected RAS-mutant nodules, most were benign; of the cancers, most were ATA low-risk.

Study context

Population
Cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITNs) with RAS mutations (HRAS, NRAS, KRAS)
Participants
63 vs 209
Exposure
Active surveillance vs immediate surgery of RAS-mutant ITNs
  • Active surveillance (AS)n = 63
  • Immediate surgeryn = 209
Outcome
Cumulative incidence of nodule growth (≥72% change in tumor volume) under AS, Kaplan-Meier
Methodological detailstwo cohorts
  • Two cohorts

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Nodule growth under AS · median AS period 23 months (IQR 9.5-53.5 months)
GroupValueCumulative incidence 1 yearCumulative incidence 3 yearsCumulative incidence 5 years
AS19.0%1.9%23.0%28.0%

AS

Value19.0%
Cumulative incidence 1 year1.9%
Cumulative incidence 3 years23.0%
Cumulative incidence 5 years28.0%
Nodules demonstrating stability
81.0%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Malignancy among AS nodules ultimately resected
16.7% · 1
Malignancy among AS nodules ultimately resected — Nodules ultimately resected
6
Malignancy in immediate surgery cohort
33%
Disease-specific deaths, immediate surgery cohort · median follow-up 6.9 (IQR 4.4-7.1) years
0 · events

Original publication

RAS -Mutated Cytologically Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: Prevalence of Malignancy and Behavior Under Active Surveillance. Thyroid. Published 28 March 2024. doi:10.1089/thy.2023.0544

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