Gestational diabetes & diabetes in pregnancy

Rapid Postpartum Progression to Diabetes Following Early Antenatal Prediabetes: Evidence From a Multiethnic New Zealand Cohort

Diabetes CarePublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Early antenatal prediabetes is a strong predictor of rapid progression to type 2 diabetes. HbA1c at booking provides an important risk stratification tool identifying people with the greatest need for preventive intervention. Further research could evaluate lipid profiling to identify genetic and autoimmune diabetes subtypes within antenatal prediabetes.

Study context

Population
Pregnant people in New Zealand (multiethnic cohort); postpartum laboratory data from electronic health records until November 2025
Participants
355 vs 490
Exposure
Early antenatal prediabetes vs gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in later pregnancy
  • Antenatal prediabetesn = 355
  • GDMn = 490reference
Outcome
Postpartum type 2 diabetes

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Postpartum T2D, by antenatal HbA1c
Each group vs GDMAdjusted hazard ratio (CI)P value
Antenatal prediabetes (HbA1c 5.9% (41 mmol/mol))
4.5(2.8–7.3)
P < 0.001
Antenatal prediabetes (HbA1c 6.2-6.4% (44-47 mmol/mol))
16.7(10.8–25.8)
P < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeGlucokinase monogenic diabetesT2DNo diabetesT1DP value
Serum TG in antenatal prediabetes cohort, by postpartum diagnosis (exploratory)Glucokinase monogenic diabetes vs T2D · lower TG with glucokinase monogenic diabetesmean 53.1 mg/dL (0.6 mmol/L)183.4 mg/dL (2.07 mmol/L)165.6 mg/dL (1.87 mmol/L)mean 87.7 mg/dL (0.99 mmol/L)P = 0.012
Serum TG in antenatal prediabetes cohort, by postpartum diagnosis (exploratory)Glucokinase monogenic diabetes vs No diabetes · lower TG with glucokinase monogenic diabetesP = 0.013

Original publication

Rapid Postpartum Progression to Diabetes Following Early Antenatal Prediabetes: Evidence From a Multiethnic New Zealand Cohort. Diabetes Care. Published 21 January 2026. doi:10.2337/dc25-2200

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