Lipids & metabolic liver disease

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Incidence and Remission and Their Predictors During 7 Years of Follow-up Among Finns

J Clin Endocrinol MetabPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

During follow-up, NAFLD developed for every fifth participant without NAFLD at baseline, and one-fifth of those with NAFLD at baseline had achieved NAFLD remission. NAFLD became more prevalent during the follow-up period. From a clinical perspective, key factors predicting NAFLD incidence and remission were BMI and WC change independent of their baseline level.

Study context

Population
Middle-aged general Finnish population, repeatedly studied, with liver US data and no excessive alcohol intake
Participants
1,260 participants
Exposure
No nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) at baseline vs NAFLD at baseline
  • No NAFLD at baselinen = 1,079
  • NAFLD at baselinen = 181
Outcome
NAFLD incidence and remission (hepatic steatosis by liver US)
Follow-up
7.2-year study interval
Methodological detailspopulation-based, 7.2-year study interval
  • Population-based
  • 7.2-year study interval

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

7.2 years

Developed NAFLD among 1079 without NAFLD at baseline

198

Achieved NAFLD remission among 181 with NAFLD at baseline

40

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Predictors of incident NAFLD (accounting for multicollinearity)

Baseline age, OR
1.07 (95% CI 1.02-1.13; P = .009)
Waist circumference, OR per 1 SD (1.91-4.01; P < .001)
2.77
Triglycerides, OR per 1 SD (1.53-3.51; P < .001)
2.31
Alanine aminotransferase (ALAT), OR per 1 SD (1.20-3.00; P = .006)
1.90
Body mass index (BMI) change, OR per 1 SD (3.02-5.63; P < .001)
4.12

Predictors of NAFLD remission

Baseline aspartate aminotransferase (ASAT), OR per 1 SD (0.08-0.67; P = .007)
0.23
Waist circumference change, OR per 1 SD (0.25-0.59; P < .001)
0.38

Original publication

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Incidence and Remission and Their Predictors During 7 Years of Follow-up Among Finns. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. Published 18 July 2023. doi:10.1210/clinem/dgad418

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