Endocrine oncology

Medullary Thyroid Cancer: Single Institute Experience Over 3 Decades and Risk Factors for Recurrence

J Clin Endocrinol MetabPublished Retrospective cohort study

An erratum to this article was published (J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 16 Sep 2025 ↗)

Authors' conclusion

One of 4 patients undergoing surgery for MTC will recur. Risk factors associated with recurrence are male gender, lateral lymph node metastasis, and high/highest MTC risk level mutations, but not necessarily surgery type. Preoperative calcitonin >2175 pg/mL is suggestive of advanced disease and should prompt further evaluation.

Study context

Population
Patients with medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) who underwent surgery, single specialized tertiary care referral center, 1990–2023; mean age 54.9 years, 65% female
Participants
68 patients
Exposure
Total thyroidectomy (TT) vs TT + central neck dissection (CND) vs TT + CND + lateral neck dissection (LND)
  • TTn = 10
  • TT + CNDn = 28
  • TT + CND + LNDn = 25
Outcome
Recurrence
Follow-up
Median 4.7 years (1.2-28.0)
Methodological detailssingle-centre, tertiary care referral center
  • Single-centre
  • Tertiary care referral center

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Recurrence
22%
Male gender associated with recurrence: HR
5.81, P = .021
Positive lateral neck nodes associated with recurrence: HR
8.10, P = .011
High/highest MTC risk level RET mutations associated with recurrence: HR
8.66, P = .004
Extent of surgery not significantly associated with recurrence
P = .634

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Preoperative calcitonin >2175 pg/mL as predictor

Distant metastasis (strong predictor): AUC
0.893
Lateral neck disease (good predictor): AUC
0.706

Baseline disease features

Lymph node metastases
24% (n = 16)
Distant metastases
4% (n = 3)
RET mutations
52% (n = 35)
MTC risk levels: highest / high / moderate
6% / 7% / 39%
Mean tumor size, cm
1.9 (1.2-3.2)
Mean preoperative calcitonin, pg/mL
504.4 (133.2-1833.8)
Positive central nodes on final pathology
40%
Positive lateral nodes on final pathology
25%

Original publication

Medullary Thyroid Cancer: Single Institute Experience Over 3 Decades and Risk Factors for Recurrence. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. Published 23 April 2024. doi:10.1210/clinem/dgae279

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