Gestational diabetes & diabetes in pregnancy

Machine Learning–Based Prediction of Large-for-Gestational-Age Infants in Mothers With Gestational Diabetes Mellitus

J Clin Endocrinol MetabPublished Prediction model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

We demonstrated better performance in predicting LGA infants among women with GDM using the AI-based fusion model. The characteristics of the CGM profiles allowed us to determine the appropriate window for intervention.

Study context

Population
Women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) from a prospective cohort at a university hospital; Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) during 20 to 34 gestational weeks
Participants
371 women
Comparison
Artificial intelligence (AI)-based convolutional neural network (CNN) fusion model vs 3 conventional models
Outcome
Prediction of LGA infants (AUCROC and accuracy)
Methodological detailsprospective cohort, single university hospital, convolutional neural network (CNN)-based fusion model
  • Prospective cohort
  • Single university hospital
  • Convolutional neural network (CNN)-based fusion model

Performance

As reported in the abstract

LGA prediction
Test or modelAUCROCAccuracy
Fusion model0.852 (95% CI, 0.680-0.966)84.4%

Fusion model

AUCROC0.852 (95% CI, 0.680-0.966)
Accuracy84.4%

Further findings

Large-for-gestational-age (LGA) incidence

GDM women with LGA neonates
76 (20.5%) of 371

24-hour CGM glucose profiles, LGA vs non-LGA

Profiles differed at midmorning; consistent across subgroups by pregestational BMI, therapeutic protocol and CGM administration period

Original publication

Machine Learning–Based Prediction of Large-for-Gestational-Age Infants in Mothers With Gestational Diabetes Mellitus. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. Published 16 July 2024. doi:10.1210/clinem/dgae475

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