Type 2 & other diabetes

Integrative plasma proteomic network analysis identifies physical activity-associated protein modules potentially mediating type 2 diabetes risk

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study with proteomic network and mediation analyses

Authors' conclusion

MVPA may reduce T2D risk through two coordinated plasma protein networks rather than only through individual circulating proteins.

Study context

Population
Diabetes-free UK Biobank participants with baseline plasma proteomics (2910 plasma proteins)1,225 incident T2D
Participants
28,842 participants
Exposure
Guideline-adherent moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) vs not
Outcome
Incident T2D and its mediation by plasma proteins and protein co-expression modules
Follow-up
Median 13.60 years (IQR: [12.82, 14.35])
Methodological detailsUK Biobank, multiscale embedded gene co-expression network analysis (MEGENA), module-level Mendelian randomization, leave-one-out sensitivity analyses, pathway enrichment analyses
  • UK Biobank
  • Multiscale embedded gene co-expression network analysis (MEGENA)
  • Module-level Mendelian randomization
  • Leave-one-out sensitivity analyses
  • Pathway enrichment analyses

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Associations of MVPA with T2D risk, plasma proteins and protein modules · median 13.60 years
Circulating proteins associated with MVPA
650
Bonferroni-significant mediators among these proteins
451
Robust modules identified by MEGENA
171
Modules mediating the MVPA-T2D association
67
Terminal modules selected for further analysis
12
CKB-IGFBP2-centric module association with MVPA, β
0.196 [0.168, 0.224] (95% CI)
CKB-IGFBP2-centric module genetic association with T2D, OR
0.57 [0.43, 0.77] (95% CI)
RIDA-PCBD1-centric module association with MVPA, β (95% CI)
- 0.134 [- 0.162, - 0.108]
RIDA-PCBD1-centric module genetic association with T2D, OR
1.54 [1.13, 2.09] (95% CI)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Pathway and islet single-cell enrichment of modules

CKB-IGFBP2-centred module antigen-presentation-enriched; RIDA-PCBD1-centred module complement/apoptotic-cell-clearance-enriched; modules captured pathways unique vs individual protein analyses
Constituent genes of both modules enriched in T2D-related gene changes in pancreatic β-cells; antigen-presentation module also enriched across α-, δ- and ductal cells

Original publication

Integrative plasma proteomic network analysis identifies physical activity-associated protein modules potentially mediating type 2 diabetes risk. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 9 September 2026. doi:10.1186/s12933-026-03363-1

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