Type 1 diabetes

Increasing Contribution of Adolescent Type 1 Diabetes Drives Incidence Rates in Poland - a 40-year-long Observational Study

Horm Res PaediatrPublished Prospective observational study

Authors' conclusion

Over the past 40 years, the incidence of pediatric type 1 diabetes in Central Poland has increased significantly, though the rate is slowing. Most new cases occur in children 10 years old and older, so healthcare systems should adapt to young adults who are extensive users of new diabetes technologies.

Study context

Population
Children 0–14 years with new-onset T1D admitted 1983–2022 to reference centres for pediatric diabetes, Lodz Province, Central Poland
Outcome
Incidence and prevalence of pediatric T1D
Follow-up
1983–2022
Methodological detailspopulation-based registry, 40-year
  • Population-based registry
  • 40-year

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

T1D incidence rate · 1983 to 2022
Incidence 1983
3.29/100,000 (per 100,000; 95% CI 1.85-4.73)
Incidence 2022 (per 100,000; 26.42-38.44)
32.43
Increase
tenfold
Annual percentage change (4.99%-6.44%)
5.73%
Annual percentage change 1983-2005, rapid (6.30-10.52%)
7.38%
Annual percentage change 2005-2022, slower (−0.86-5.13%)
3.65%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeP value
Incidence by age group0-4 years vs 5-9 and 10-14 years · significantly lower in 0-4-year-oldsP < 0.0001

Incidence by age group

Incidence plateaued in 0-4-year-olds after 2007; consistently increased in older children

Seasonality of diagnosis

Most new cases diagnosed in winter (December-February); mean difference from remaining seasons, % points (± 11.6; p < 0.0001)
29

T1D prevalence · 2022

Prevalence 2022 (per 100,000; 163.18-191.24)
177.21/100,000

Original publication

Increasing Contribution of Adolescent Type 1 Diabetes Drives Incidence Rates in Poland - a 40-year-long Observational Study. Horm Res Paediatr. Published 17 April 2025. doi:10.1159/000545304

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