Type 1 diabetes

Seasonal Variation in Type 1 Diabetes Incidence in Poland: Exploring the Impact of Viral Infections, Including COVID‐19

Pediatr DiabetesPublished Retrospective observational study

Authors' conclusion

These findings underline the complex interplay between viral infections and T1D seasonality

Study context

Population
Children with newly diagnosed T1D admitted to two pediatric diabetes centers in the Masovian Voivodeship, Poland, 2015–2023
Participants
2,381 children
Exposure
T1D onset in autumn-winter vs spring-summer; correlation with COVID-19 and influenza cases
Outcome
Seasonal pattern of T1D onset
Methodological detailstwo pediatric diabetes centers
  • Two pediatric diabetes centers

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

T1D onset by season

P < 0.0001

Increase in T1D cases over study period
30%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Seasonal pattern in children <4 years

Distinct pattern with a peak in October

Correlation of T1D incidence with COVID-19

First wave: strong association, r
0.96 (p < 0.001)
Second wave: no correlation, r
0.086 (p = 0.87)

Correlation of T1D seasonality with influenza infections

Close correlation, r
0.79 (p = 0.002)
Overall trends differed

Original publication

Seasonal Variation in Type 1 Diabetes Incidence in Poland: Exploring the Impact of Viral Infections, Including COVID‐19. Pediatr Diabetes. Published 4 September 2025. doi:10.1155/pedi/6868987

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