Type 1 diabetes

Global type 1 diabetes prevalence, incidence, and mortality estimates 2025: Results from the International diabetes Federation Atlas, 11th Edition, and the T1D Index Version 3.0

Diabetes Res Clin PractPublished Modelling study

Authors' conclusion

The number of global T1D cases is rising quickly, especially in lower-income settings, due to increasing diagnosed incidence, falling mortality and ageing, and population growth. Contemporary data are unavailable for over 50% of all countries, highlighting need for epidemiological studies.

Study context

Population
202 countries/territories; IDF Atlas 11th Edition/T1D Index Version 3.0202 countries/territories
Outcome
Estimated global T1D prevalence, incidence and mortality
Follow-up
2025, projected to 2040
Methodological detailsMarkov model with sub-models for incidence-over-time, adult incidence and mortality-over-time, data extrapolated for countries without studies
  • Markov model with sub-models for incidence-over-time, adult incidence and mortality-over-time
  • Data extrapolated for countries without studies

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Global T1D estimates · 2025
People living with T1D globally
9.5 million
People living with T1D in 2021
8.4 million
Increase since 2021
13 %
Prevalent cases aged 0-14
1.0 million
Prevalent cases aged 15-19 years
0.8 million
Incident cases in 2025
513,000
Incident cases aged 0-14
164,000
Incident cases aged 15-19 years
58,000
Incidence increase in the last year
2.4 %
Premature deaths
174,000
Premature deaths due to non-diagnosis soon after clinical onset
17.2 %

Further findings

Prevalent cases in lower-income countries · 2021 to 2025

Increase
20 %
2021
1.8 million
2025
2.1 million

Remaining life expectancy of a 10-year-old diagnosed with T1D in 2025

Range between countries
6 to 66 years

Data availability

Countries with no data available
119

Projected T1D population · 2040

Projected people with T1D
14.7 million

Original publication

Global type 1 diabetes prevalence, incidence, and mortality estimates 2025: Results from the International diabetes Federation Atlas, 11th Edition, and the T1D Index Version 3.0. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. Published 22 May 2025. doi:10.1016/j.diabres.2025.112277

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