Type 2 & other diabetes

The cost‐utility and budget impact analyses of Tirzepatide versus once‐weekly Semaglutide as add‐on therapy to metformin in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus in China

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished Cost-utility and budget impact analysis

Authors' conclusion

This dual analysis provides policymakers and payers with a comprehensive basis for decision-making. Tirzepatide offered substantial long-term health benefits, but they were not cost-effective compared with semaglutide 1 mg in T2DM patients inadequately controlled with metformin under China's health care providers' perspective. The entry of tirzepatide 5 mg into the NHIS may increase the financial burden of national medical insurance, but overall health care expenditures are expected to decrease, driven primarily by significantly reduced out-of-pocket expenses for patients.

Study context

Population
Simulated patients with T2D inadequately controlled with metformin, China (SURPASS-2 data)
Exposure
Tirzepatide 5 mg and 10 mg vs semaglutide 1 mg, add-on to metformin
Outcome
Incremental cost-utility ratio (costs and QALYs)
Follow-up
Long-term
Methodological detailsUK Prospective Diabetes Study Outcomes Model Version 2.2, Chinese health care providers' perspective, efficacy data from SURPASS-2 trial, sensitivity analyses, 5-year budget impact
  • UK Prospective Diabetes Study Outcomes Model Version 2.2
  • Chinese health care providers' perspective
  • Efficacy data from SURPASS-2 trial
  • Sensitivity analyses
  • 5-year budget impact

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incremental QALYs, costs and cost-utility ratios vs semaglutide 1 mg · long-term simulation

Incremental quality-adjusted life years (QALYs)

0.05 QALYs

Tirzepatide 5 mg · incremental cost $23 563.42; ICUR $445 125.24/QALY

Incremental QALYs

0.09 QALYs

Tirzepatide 10 mg · incremental cost $47 583.74; ICUR $543 829.19/QALY

Willingness-to-pay threshold (both ICURs exceeded it)
$29 599.90/QALY

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Budget impact for national health insurance system (NHIS) · 5 years

Additional budgetary burden
approximately $80 million to $490 million

Original publication

The cost‐utility and budget impact analyses of Tirzepatide versus once‐weekly Semaglutide as add‐on therapy to metformin in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus in China. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 2 July 2025. doi:10.1111/dom.16580

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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