Osteoporosis, bone & mineral

Clinical utility of one-third radius BMD in a population-based prospective cohort of older adults: Insights from the São Paulo Aging & Health (São Paulo Ageing & Health (SPAH)) study

Osteoporos IntPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Including one-third radius BMD improves fracture risk prediction in older adults, particularly when hip measurements are unavailable or inconclusive.

Study context

Population
Adults aged ≥65 years (63.5% women) from the São Paulo Ageing & Health (SPAH) study with baseline DXA at spine, hip and one-third radius63.5% women
Participants
707 adults
Exposure
One-third radius BMD vs spine and hip BMD for osteoporosis classification and fracture prediction
Outcome
Incident fragility fractures
Follow-up
4.3±0.8 years
Methodological detailspopulation-based, multivariate logistic regression
  • Population-based
  • Multivariate logistic regression

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Fracture risk with one-third radius osteoporosis (T-score≤−2.5), women

Radius osteoporosis independently predicted fracture risk in women, RR

1.61

95% CI 1.04–2.48

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Increase in osteoporosis diagnoses with one-third radius BMD

Women, up to
8.6%
Men, up to
8.2%
Among individuals who fractured (women)
11.1%
Among individuals who fractured (men)
15.7%

Total hip BMD (per SD decrease), multisite model, women

RR
1.72 (95%CI: 1.06-2.78; p=0.028)
Lower hip and radius BMD, but not spine BMD, associated with higher risk; radius BMD lost significance in multisite models

Men

Few fracture events precluded multivariable analysis

Original publication

Clinical utility of one-third radius BMD in a population-based prospective cohort of older adults: Insights from the São Paulo Aging & Health (SPAH) study. Osteoporos Int. Published 23 February 2026. doi:10.1007/s00198-026-07878-x

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