Obesity

Beyond mean and maximum CO₂: introducing hypercapnic burden as a marker of sleep-related hypoventilation

Int J Obes (Lond)Published Cross-sectional study

Authors' conclusion

This underscores the heterogeneity of nocturnal hypoventilation in OHS and the potential value of more nuanced markers in individual patients, as daytime hypercapnia might not be present yet, and maxCO2 and meanCO2 do not account for low or intermittent but cumulative CO2 elevations. Identifying such outliers is clinically important, as these patients may be at heightened risk of progression or may respond differently to interventions such as non-invasive ventilation.

Study context

Population
Patients meeting obesity hypoventilation syndrome (OHS) criteria who underwent polysomnography with transcutaneous capnography
Participants
31 patients
Outcome
Correlation of hypercapnic burden (area above transcutaneous CO₂ thresholds of 45 mmHg [thresh45] and 50 mmHg [thresh50]) with classic nocturnal hypercapnia metrics
Methodological detailssingle-center, retrospective
  • Single-center
  • Retrospective

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

maxCO₂ vs thresh45, Spearman's rho

0.906

p < 0.000001

maxCO₂ vs thresh50, Spearman's rho

0.953

p < 0.000001

meanCO₂ vs thresh45, Spearman's rho

0.918

p < 0.000001

meanCO₂ vs thresh50, Spearman's rho

0.937

p < 0.000001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Correlation of these metrics with % predicted forced vital capacity (FVC%)

Significant negative correlations with FVC% (respectively, as printed), Spearman's rho
−0.49, p = 0.01 and −0.45, p = 0.02
Did not outperform classic metrics; several outliers showed better alignment of FVC% with threshold-based indices than with meanCO₂

Original publication

Beyond mean and maximum CO₂: introducing hypercapnic burden as a marker of sleep-related hypoventilation. Int J Obes (Lond). Published 1 April 2026. doi:10.1038/s41366-026-02077-4

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