Lipids & metabolic liver disease

Association of triglyceride glucose index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general population

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

This study established a significant association between the TyG index and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general population, particularly among individuals aged < 65. Notably, a non-linear association with all-cause mortality was observed in those aged < 65, while a linear relationship with cardiovascular mortality was found.

Study context

Population
General population, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2009–2018)
Participants
20,194 participants
Exposure
Higher vs lower Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index
Outcome
All-cause and cardiovascular mortality
Follow-up
Median 105 months
Methodological detailsNHANES 2009-2018, multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression, restricted cubic splines
  • NHANES 2009-2018
  • Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression
  • Restricted cubic splines

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

All-cause mortality
13.345%
Cardiovascular mortality
3.387%
Kaplan-Meier: higher all-cause and CV mortality with higher TyG index
both P for log-rank test < 0.001
Cox, adjusted: no linear trend, all-cause mortality
P for trend = 0.424
Cox, adjusted: no linear trend, CV mortality
P for trend = 0.481
Non-linear association (restricted cubic splines), all-cause mortality
Non-linear P = 0.003
Non-linear association (restricted cubic splines), CV mortality
Non-linear P = 0.034

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeP value
Predictive performance, TyG index vs HOMA-IRTyG index vs HOMA-IR · all-cause mortality: 0.620 vs. 0.524 · ROC curvesP < 0.001
Predictive performance, TyG index vs HOMA-IRTyG index vs HOMA-IR · CV mortality: 0.623 vs. 0.537 · ROC curvesP < 0.001

Subgroup interaction

Consistent across most subgroups, all-cause mortality
P for interaction = 0.077-0.940
Consistent across most subgroups, CV mortality
P for interaction = 0.173-0.987
Age subgroup interaction, all-cause mortality
P for interaction < 0.001
Age subgroup interaction, CV mortality
P for interaction < 0.001

Age-specific analysis, aged < 65 vs ≥ 65

Aged < 65: non-linear association with all-cause mortality
Non-linear P = 0.011
Aged < 65: linear upward relationship with CV mortality
Non-linear P = 0.742, P for trend = 0.010
Association remained significant in aged < 65 but not in aged ≥ 65

Aged 45-64

All-cause mortality
Non-linear P = 0.001
CV mortality
Non-linear P = 0.902, P for trend = 0.015

Original publication

Association of triglyceride glucose index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general population. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 22 November 2023. doi:10.1186/s12933-023-02054-5

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