Type 2 & other diabetes

Association between triglyceride–glucose index and mortality in critically ill patients with atrial fibrillation: a retrospective cohort study

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Retrospective cohort study

An erratum to this article was published (Cardiovasc Diabetol, 9 Jun 2025 ↗)

Main finding · All-cause mortalityResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 1.26 95% CI 1.09–1.45

Authors' conclusion

A significant linear association was observed between higher TyG index and increased all-cause mortality at 30, 90, and 365 days in critically ill patients with AF. This underscores the role of the TyG index as a key prognostic indicator for risk stratification and management in intensive care.

Study context

Population
Critically ill patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database
Participants
1,473 patients
Exposure
Higher vs lower triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index
Outcome
30-day mortality
Follow-up
30 days
Methodological detailsMIMIC-IV database, TyG index tertiles, multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression, restricted cubic splines
  • MIMIC-IV database
  • TyG index tertiles
  • Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression
  • Restricted cubic splines

Main finding

All-cause mortality

Hazard ratio

1.26

95% CI 1.09–1.45

P = 0.002

Highervs lower TyG index
HR 1.26 (95% CI 1.09–1.45); P = 0.002

As reported in the abstract

30-day all-cause mortality rate, whole cohort
26.8%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Secondary outcomes

All-cause mortality · 90 days

HR (95% CI)P value
TyG indexMultivariate Cox analysis1.27 (1.11–1.45)P < 0.001

All-cause mortality · 365 days

HR (95% CI)P value
TyG indexMultivariate Cox analysis1.24 (1.10–1.40)P < 0.001
All-cause mortality — 90-day all-cause mortality rate, whole cohort
33.3%
All-cause mortality — 365-day all-cause mortality rate, whole cohort
41.1%

Shape of association and survival by tertile

Restricted cubic splines: positive linear association between TyG index and mortality risk
Kaplan-Meier: significant survival disparities across TyG index tertiles

Original publication

Association between triglyceride–glucose index and mortality in critically ill patients with atrial fibrillation: a retrospective cohort study. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 24 March 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02697-6

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