Osteoporosis, bone & mineral

A Fracture Risk Assessment Tool for High Resolution Peripheral Quantitative Computed Tomography

J Bone Miner ResPublished Prognostic model development study

Authors' conclusion

We developed a personalized fracture risk assessment tool based on HR-pQCT that may provide an alternative approach to current clinical methods by leveraging direct measures of bone density and structure.

Study context

Population
Older adults, international prospective cohort
Participants
6,802 adults
Comparison
μFRAC vs FRAX vs FN aBMD reference model
Outcome
Prediction of osteoporotic fracture (c-index)
Methodological detailsinternational prospective cohort, random survival forests
  • International prospective cohort
  • Random survival forests

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Osteoporotic fracture prediction
Test or modelValueC-index
μFRAC0.6730.673
FRAX0.6170.617
FN aBMD0.6360.636

Value

μFRAC0.673
FRAX0.617
FN aBMD0.636

C-index

μFRAC0.673
FRAX0.617
FN aBMD0.636
μFRAC predictive of osteoporotic fracture
P < 0.001

Further findings

OutcomeμFRAC
Major osteoporotic fractures only
C-index0.733
Major osteoporotic fractures only — μFRAC predictive of major osteoporotic fracture
p < 0.001

μFRAC without FN aBMD and clinical risk factors except age · 5-year and 10-year fracture risk

Removal did not significantly impact performance

Original publication

A Fracture Risk Assessment Tool for High Resolution Peripheral Quantitative Computed Tomography. J Bone Miner Res. Published 3 May 2023. doi:10.1002/jbmr.4808

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