Obesity

Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults

LancetPublished Pooled analysis of population-representative studies

Authors' conclusion

The combined burden of underweight and obesity has increased in most countries, driven by an increase in obesity, while underweight and thinness remain prevalent in south Asia and parts of Africa. A healthy nutrition transition that enhances access to nutritious foods is needed to address the remaining burden of underweight while curbing and reversing the increase in obesity.

Study context

Population
General population of 200 countries and territories: adults (age ≥20 years) and school-aged children and adolescents (age 5–19 years); underweight BMI <18.5 kg/m², adult obesity BMI ≥30 kg/m²; youth thinness/obesity BMI <2 SD below / >2 SD above WHO growth reference median
Participants
222 million participants3,663 studies
Comparison
Women vs Men vs Girls vs Boys
Outcome
Individual and combined prevalence of underweight (thinness) and obesity, and their changes
Follow-up
1990 to 2022
Methodological detailsBayesian hierarchical model, 200 countries and territories, 1990–2022
  • Bayesian hierarchical model
  • 200 countries and territories
  • 1990–2022

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Countries with change in combined prevalence of underweight and obesity in adults (posterior probability ≥0.80)
Decreased, women
11 countries (6%)
Decreased, men
17 (9%)
Increased, women
162 countries (81%)
Increased, men
140 countries (70%)
Combined thinness and obesity decreased, girls
five countries (3%)
Combined thinness and obesity decreased, boys
15 countries (8%)
Combined thinness and obesity increased, girls
140 countries (70%)
Combined thinness and obesity increased, boys
137 countries (69%)

Further pooled results

Obesity vs underweight prevalence in adults · 2022

Obesity higher than underweight, women
177 countries (89%)
Obesity higher than underweight, men
145 (73%)
Underweight higher than obesity, women
16 countries (8%)
Underweight higher than obesity, men
39 (20%)
  • Posterior probability of at least 0.80

Obesity vs thinness prevalence in school-aged children and adolescents · 2022

Obesity more prevalent than thinness, girls
133 countries (67%)
Obesity more prevalent than thinness, boys
125 countries (63%)
Thinness more prevalent than obesity, girls
35 countries (18%)
Thinness more prevalent than obesity, boys
42 countries (21%)
  • Posterior probability of at least 0.80

Highest combined prevalence · 2022

Adults: highest in island nations in the Caribbean and Polynesia and Micronesia, and Middle East and north Africa
Children/adolescents: highest in Polynesia and Micronesia and the Caribbean (both sexes), and Chile and Qatar (boys); also high in south Asia (India, Pakistan) where thinness remained prevalent despite declining

Drivers of change in double burden

In almost all countries, increases driven by increasing obesity; decreases by declining underweight or thinness

Original publication

Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults. Lancet. Published 29 February 2024. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(23)02750-2

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