Obesity

Weight Loss in Midlife, Chronic Disease Incidence, and All-Cause Mortality During Extended Follow-Up

JAMA Netw OpenPublished Cohort study

Main finding · Incident chronic disease (WHII)Result — go to the resultHazard ratio 0.52 95% CI 0.35–0.78

Authors' conclusion

In this study, conducted when surgical and pharmacological weight-loss interventions were nearly nonexistent, sustained midlife weight loss compared with persistent overweight was associated with a decreased risk of chronic diseases beyond type 2 diabetes and decreased all-cause mortality.

Study context

Population
Adults in healthy midlife (ages 40–50 years) with repeated height and weight measurements in WHII (baseline 1985–1988), Helsinki Businessmen Study (HBS) (baseline 1964–1973) and FPS (baseline 2000)
Participants
23,149 adults3 cohorts
Exposure
Midlife weight loss vs persistent overweight
Outcome
Incident chronic disease (T2D, MI, stroke, cancer, asthma or COPD) in WHII and FPS; all-cause mortality in HBS
Methodological details3 cohorts (WHII, HBS, FPS), linked electronic health records from national health registries, Data analyses conducted between February 11, 2024, and February 20, 2025
  • 3 cohorts (WHII, HBS, FPS)
  • Linked electronic health records from national health registries
  • Data analyses conducted between February 11, 2024, and February 20, 2025

Main finding

Incident chronic disease (WHII) · median (IQR) follow-up 22.8 (16.9-23.3) years

Hazard ratio

0.52

95% CI 0.35–0.78

Weight lossvs Persistent overweight
HR 0.52 (95% CI 0.35–0.78)

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
All-cause mortality (HBS) · median [IQR] follow-up 35 [24-43] yearsWeight lossvs Persistent overweightDecreased mortality with weight loss0.81 (0.68–0.96)

Chronic disease excluding diabetes (WHII)

Finding replicated after excluding diabetes from the outcome, HR
0.58 (95% CI, 0.37-0.90)

Chronic disease (FPS) · median (IQR) follow-up 12.2 (8.2-12.2) years

Corresponding HR in FPS
0.43 (95% CI, 0.29-0.66)

Original publication

Weight Loss in Midlife, Chronic Disease Incidence, and All-Cause Mortality During Extended Follow-Up. JAMA Netw Open. Published 1 May 2025. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.11825

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