Diabetes complications

Unveiling biomarkers via plasma metabolome profiling for diabetic macrovascular and microvascular complications

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Prospective cohort study with Mendelian randomization analysis

Authors' conclusion

These findings may serve as potential biomarkers for predicting the development of vascular complications in patients with diabetes, thereby improving clinical management strategies for affected patients.

Study context

Population
Patients with diabetes, UK Biobank and FinnGen Biobank; 249 nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR)-quantified plasma metabolites7,711 with diabetes
Participants
333,870 patients
Outcome
Incident macrovascular (HF, stroke, CHD) and microvascular (DN, kidney disease, retinopathy) complications
Methodological detailslongitudinal, NMR metabolomics, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator-Cox (LASSO-Cox) regression, multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression, bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization
  • Longitudinal
  • NMR metabolomics
  • LASSO-Cox regression
  • Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression
  • Bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Metabolites associated with incident complications (multivariate Cox)
Macrovascular: creatinine HR
1.32, 95% CI 1.17-1.50, P < 0.001
Macrovascular: albumin HR
0.87, 95% CI 0.81-0.94, P < 0.001
Macrovascular: tyrosine HR
0.91, 95% CI 0.85-0.96, P = 0.001
Macrovascular: glutamine HR
1.08, 95% CI 1.01-1.15, P = 0.020
Macrovascular: lactate HR
1.07, 95% CI 1.01-1.14, P = 0.023
Macrovascular: phospholipids to total lipids in small low-density lipoprotein (LDL) HR
1.10, 95% CI 1.01-1.19, P = 0.023
Microvascular: glucose HR
1.25, 95% CI 1.18-1.33, P < 0.001
Microvascular: tyrosine HR
0.86, 95% CI 0.80-0.92, P < 0.001
Microvascular: very large HDL particle concentration HR
0.78, 95% CI 0.68-0.90, P = 0.001
Microvascular: valine HR
1.21, 95% CI 1.08-1.36, P = 0.001
Microvascular: free cholesterol to total lipids in very small very low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) HR
1.28, 95% CI 1.10-1.49, P = 0.001
Microvascular: alanine HR
1.08, 95% CI 1.01-1.15, P = 0.022
Microvascular: albumin HR
0.92, 95% CI 0.86-0.99, P = 0.027
Microvascular: isoleucine HR
0.89, 95% CI 0.80-1.00, P = 0.041

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Incident complications · follow-up 13.06 ± 3.59 years (macro); 12.77 ± 3.90 years (micro)

Developed macrovascular complications
1,457
Developed microvascular complications
1,635

Mendelian randomization (MR): CHD

Phospholipids to total lipids in small LDL, OR
1.96, 95% CI 1.33-2.88, P = 0.015

Reverse MR: DN

Docosahexaenoic acid to total fatty acids, OR
0.97, 95% CI 0.95-0.99, P = 0.019
Triglycerides to total lipids in very large VLDL, OR
1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05, P = 0.019
Pyruvate, OR
1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05, P = 0.046

Original publication

Unveiling biomarkers via plasma metabolome profiling for diabetic macrovascular and microvascular complications. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 18 August 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02899-y

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