Type 2 & other diabetes

Triglyceride glucose index predicts long-term mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · All-cause mortality per TyG indexResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 1.39 95% CI 1.07–1.79

Authors' conclusion

The TyG index is a valuable prognostic marker for long-term risk of all-cause mortality and MACE in patients with T2D, supporting its use in clinical risk stratification.

Study context

Population
Patients with T2D (median age 67 years, IQR 61–72; 54% males; median disease duration 14 years; median HbA1c 7.3%) and presumably healthy controls (median age 65 years)
Participants
568 vs 376
Exposure
TyG index as predictor of outcomes in T2D; T2D vs healthy controls
  • T2Dn = 568
  • Controls (CTR)n = 376reference
Outcome
All-cause mortality and MACE
Follow-up
Median 16.8 (IQR, 13.1-16.8) years

Main finding

All-cause mortality per TyG index

Hazard ratio

1.39

95% CI 1.07–1.79

TyG index
HR 1.39 (95% CI 1.07–1.79)

Per TyG index, as printed

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

TyG index T2D vs CTR · baseline

T2D had higher TyG index than CTR
Higher baseline TyG index with preexisting diabetic kidney disease (DKD) or atherosclerotic vascular disease
Sex-specific differences among CTR but not in T2D

Age effect modification of TyG–mortality association

Age modified the association; strongest effect at ages 57-74

Original publication

Triglyceride glucose index predicts long-term mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 10 March 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02671-2

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