Type 1 diabetes

Time in Range and Incident Diabetic Retinopathy: Clinical and Economic Evidence From Real-World Type 1 Diabetes Care

J Clin Endocrinol MetabPublished Retrospective case-cohort study

Authors' conclusion

These findings can guide real-world CGM studies and support diabetes simulation models to predict future treatment outcomes from CGM metrics.

Study context

Population
Patients with T1D using continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) devices (mean duration 13.7 years), with long-term follow-up for incident diabetic retinopathy (DR)
Participants
161 patients
Exposure
Per 10% increase in time in range (TIR)
  • Casesn = 71
  • Controlsn = 90reference
Outcome
Progression to DR by longitudinal changes in TIR (70–180 mg/dL)
Methodological detailsreal-world CGM and electronic health record data, multilevel mixed-effects parametric survival models, Markov models
  • Real-world CGM and electronic health record data
  • Multilevel mixed-effects parametric survival models
  • Markov models

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Retinopathy progression per 10% increase in TIR

HR per 10% increase in TIR

0.88

95% CI 0.78–0.98

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Blindness prevented (TIR 70% vs 40%) · over time

Estimated cases of blindness prevented per 1000 individuals
39

Economic simulation

Lower costs per person
$2581
Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained
0.13

Original publication

Time in Range and Incident Diabetic Retinopathy: Clinical and Economic Evidence From Real-World Type 1 Diabetes Care. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. Published 4 October 2025. doi:10.1210/clinem/dgaf544

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