Gestational diabetes & diabetes in pregnancy

The utility of early gestational OGTT and biomarkers for the development of gestational diabetes mellitus: an international prospective multicentre cohort study

DiabetologiaPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Although the accurate diagnosis of GDM before 24 weeks remains an ongoing discussion, dynamically assessed glucose concentrations during an early OGTT were closely associated with impaired glucose homeostasis and showed good predictive accuracy for later development of GDM as well as the requirement for insulin. These findings may be used to develop a protocol to distinguish between low- and high-risk mothers.

Study context

Population
Pregnant women in six Central European centres; early OGTT and biomarkers at median gestational age 13.4 weeks (IQR 12.7–14.1)
Participants
657 women
Outcome
Predictive performance of first-trimester OGTT and biomarkers for later GDM
Methodological detailsinternational, multicentre, blinded 75 g OGTT
  • International
  • Multicentre
  • Blinded 75 g OGTT

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of progression to GDM by early OGTT glucose (AUC)

Developed gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM)

83

12.6%

AUC, OGTT glucose at fasting

0.68

AUC, OGTT glucose at 60 min

0.74

AUC, OGTT glucose at 120 min

0.72

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Biomarkers

Some biomarkers showed significant but modest predictive accuracy

Glucose homeostasis and insulin requirement

Early OGTT glucose associated with impaired insulin sensitivity, beta cell dysfunction and insulin requirement in later pregnancy

Original publication

The utility of early gestational OGTT and biomarkers for the development of gestational diabetes mellitus: an international prospective multicentre cohort study. Diabetologia. Published 16 August 2025. doi:10.1007/s00125-025-06517-0

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