The Forcing Factors That Predict Obesity: A Cross‐Sectional Multilevel Machine Learning Model of US County‐Level Prevalence
Authors' conclusion
This study used XAI methods to predict obesity, explaining 78% of the variance at the granular county level.
Study context
- Population
- US counties; county-level datasets incorporating 34 variables
- Outcome
- County-level obesity prevalence (model performance and feature importance of multilevel predictors)
Methodological detailscounty-level, multilevel, machine learning (Light Gradient Boosting Machine), explainable artificial intelligence (XAI)
- County-level
- Multilevel
- Machine learning (Light Gradient Boosting Machine)
- Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI)
Main finding
As reported in the abstract
Prediction of county-level obesity prevalence
Variance in county-level obesity prevalence explained by optimal model (29 features)
78%
Observational data: associations, not effects.
Original publication
The Forcing Factors That Predict Obesity: A Cross‐Sectional Multilevel Machine Learning Model of US County‐Level Prevalence. Obesity (Silver Spring). Published 28 August 2026. doi:10. 1002/ oby. 70283
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