Type 2 & other diabetes

The association between triglyceride-glucose index and all-cause/cardiovascular mortality in patients with different glucose metabolism statuses

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

TyG was associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death in the normoglycemic subgroup, but not in the dysglycemic subgroup. In the diabetes subgroup, the association between the TyG and mortality was nonlinear. The predictive value of TyG across different glucose metabolism statuses provides new evidence for medical practice.

Study context

Population
National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) participants (nine cycles) categorized by glucose metabolism status: normoglycemia, dysglycemia, DM
Exposure
TyG index across glucose metabolism statuses
Outcome
All-cause and cardiovascular mortality
Follow-up
Median 9.2 years
Methodological detailsNHANES, nine cycles
  • NHANES, nine cycles

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

normoglycemicHazard ratio (95% CI)
All-cause mortality; per standard unit increase in TyG; 35% higher risk
1.35(1.17–1.56)
CV mortality; per standard unit increase in TyG; 38% higher risk
1.38(1.04–1.84)

Per standard unit increase in TyG, as printed

Diabetes: U-shaped association between TyG and all-cause/CV mortality (RCS), inflection point
9.1

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Prediction of 3-year mortality: TyG vs atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) (time-dependent ROC)

TyG superior to AIP for 3-year mortality prediction in normoglycemic and diabetic individuals

Subgroup analyses (age, sex, blood pressure)

Significant interaction effects of age and sex on TyG–mortality association

Original publication

The association between triglyceride-glucose index and all-cause/cardiovascular mortality in patients with different glucose metabolism statuses. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 24 September 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02826-1

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