Stress hyperglycemia ratio as a biomarker for early mortality risk stratification in cardiovascular disease: a propensity-matched analysis

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · In-hospital mortality after PSM (Model 1)Result — go to the resultHazard ratio 2.117 95% CI 1.223–3.665

Authors' conclusion

Elevated SHR contributes to early mortality in patients with cardiovascular disease, even after rigorous confounder adjustment. The incremental predictive value of SHR support its utility for risk stratification, particularly for short-term outcomes, but its prognostic value fades for long-term mortalities. These findings highlight SHR as a favorable biomarker for clinical decision-making in acute cardiovascular care.

Study context

Population
Critically ill patients with CVD admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) of Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, stratified by stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) quartiles (Q1-Q4)
Participants
3,352 patients670 matched pairs
Exposure
High SHR vs low SHR
Outcome
All-cause mortality (in-hospital, 28-day, 90-day, 365-day)
Methodological detailspropensity-score matched, single-centre ICU database
  • Propensity-score matched
  • Single-centre ICU database

Main finding

In-hospital mortality after PSM (Model 1)

Hazard ratio

2.117

95% CI 1.223–3.665

P = 0.007

High SHRvs Low SHR
HR 2.117 (95% CI 1.223–3.665); P = 0.007

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)P value
28-day mortality after PSM (Model 1)Model 1, after PSM1.859 (1.100–3.141)P = 0.020

Long-term mortality after propensity score matching (PSM) (Model 1) · 90-day and 365-day

90-day mortality: no significant association
P = 0.127
365-day mortality: no significant association
P = 0.123

Unadjusted mortality by SHR quartile (before PSM)

In-hospital mortality, Q4: 16.3% vs Q1-Q3: 5.1-6.4%
P < 0.001
365-day mortality, Q4: 29.2% vs Q1-Q3: 15.7-16.9%
P < 0.001
Restricted cubic spline (RCS): U-shaped mortality risk, average optimal SHR cutoff 1.355

Incremental predictive value of SHR added to severity scores

OASIS AUC gain, in-hospital mortality, before PSM
+0.034, P < 0.001
OASIS AUC gain, in-hospital mortality, after PSM
+0.012, P = 0.009
No improvement of OASIS and SAPSII for 90-day and 365-day mortality after PSM

Original publication

Stress hyperglycemia ratio as a biomarker for early mortality risk stratification in cardiovascular disease: a propensity-matched analysis. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 12 July 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02812-7

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