Type 2 & other diabetes

Stratifying cardiovascular benefits from GLP-1RA: a multisource analysis of patient-level CVOT and real-world data using AI-driven methods

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Pooled analysis of patient-level cardiovascular outcome trial and real-world data with machine-learning subgroup identification

Authors' conclusion

This study supports the integration of individual data from CVOT with those from EHR to confirm the transposition of results from CVOT to real-world populations, and enables the identification and validation of subgroups with greater cardiovascular benefits from cardioprotective treatment such as GLP-1RA treatment. This precision medicine approach represents a new framework for deploying cardiovascular prevention strategies in T2D.

Study context

Population
Individuals with T2D; data from 2 cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs) (LEADER, SUSTAIN-6) and a real-world study (DARWIN-T2D), with external new-user cohorts2 CVOTs + real-world study
Comparison
GLP-1 RA vs comparators
Outcome
3P-MACE reduction by GLP-1RA
Methodological detailsmultisource, individual-level data, training/test setting, external validation
  • Multisource
  • Individual-level data
  • Training/test setting
  • External validation

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

3P-MACE: subgroup aged >71 years without MI/stroke (41% of real-world population)

Aged >71 years without myocardial infarction (MI)/stroke: greatest relative benefit, HR (95% CI), test set

0.46

0.24–0.89

Aged >71 years without MI/stroke: greater absolute risk reduction than other subgroups, ARR

4.5% (1.2-7.7) (95% CI)

Difference between subgroups

Gail-Simon p = 0.02

Further pooled results

3P-MACE in subgroup aged >71 years without MI/stroke, external validation cohort

HR
0.67 (0.51-0.89) (95% CI)
ARR
3.8% (1.5-6.1) (95% CI)
Significant differences in absolute risk reduction
P < 0.05
  • External validation cohort

Original publication

Stratifying cardiovascular benefits from GLP-1RA: a multisource analysis of patient-level CVOT and real-world data using AI-driven methods. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 17 October 2025. doi:10.1186/s12933-025-02952-w

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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