Endocrine oncology

Second Primary Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Insights From Competing Risk Analysis and Post‐RAIT

Clin Endocrinol (Oxf)Published Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The survival prognosis for 2-PTC patients is generally favorable, and post-RAIT does not significantly affect mortality in intermediate-risk cases, indicating a need for reevaluation of its use.

Study context

Population
Patients with second primary papillary thyroid carcinoma (2-PTC), SEER-17 database 2004–2019; Cohort 2: intermediate-risk 2-PTCCohort 2: 1743
Participants
6,399 patients
Exposure
Post-RAIT vs no postoperative radioactive iodine therapy (post-RAIT) in intermediate-risk 2-PTC
Outcome
Mortality risks (from 2-PTC, prior primary malignancies and other causes) with post-RAIT in intermediate-risk 2-PTC
Methodological detailsSEER-17 database, competing risk regression, propensity score matching, stabilized inverse probability treatment weighting with 500 bootstrap samples
  • SEER-17 database
  • Competing risk regression
  • Propensity score matching
  • Stabilized inverse probability treatment weighting with 500 bootstrap samples

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Mortality risks in Cohort 2
  • Post-RAIT did not significantly reduce mortality risks in Cohort 2
  • No significant reduction even among patients aged ≥ 55 years, with clinical stage IV disease, or unfavorable prior primary malignancies (PPMs)
  • Sensitivity analyses confirmed these findings

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Most common PPMs (Cohort 1)

Breast
25.5%
Prostate
9.8%
Skin cancer
6.7%
Unfavorable PPMs
6.3%

Cumulative mortality by cause

Lower cumulative mortality from 2-PTC than from PPMs and other causes

Demographics

Predominantly older age, female sex, white ethnicity

Original publication

Second Primary Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Insights From Competing Risk Analysis and Post‐RAIT. Clin Endocrinol (Oxf). Published 7 September 2025. doi:10.1111/cen.70031

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