Thyroid disease

Risk Stratification and Long-Term Outcome of Benign Thyroid Nodules – An 11-Year Cohort Study

Endocr PractPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

ROM for benign nodules remains considerably low, especially for nodule smaller than 2 cm. Long-term follow-up and repeated FNA and follow-up for BTSC II thyroid nodules without suspicious features should be reconsidered.

Study context

Population
Patients with initial benign thyroid nodules, 2010–20141,224 nodules
Participants
1,071 patients
Outcome
Change in nodule's risk of malignancy (ROM): malignant pathology or repeated Bethesda III, IV, V or VI cytology

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

ROM · mean follow-up 9.48 ± 1.72 years

Risk of malignancy (ROM), all benign nodules

3.43%

42/1224

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Secondary outcomes

ROM by nodule size · higher ROM with >2 cm

P < 0.001

Repeat fine-needle aspiration (FNA) and change in nodule size

Did not significantly change ROM

Malignant nodules with documented size >2 cm

Nodules >2 cm among 41 malignant nodules
33 (80.49%)

Malignancies diagnosed within first 3 years of follow-up

Cases diagnosed within first 3 years
35 (85.37%)

Patients without follow-up

Patients remaining without follow-up
0.65% (7/1071)

Original publication

Risk Stratification and Long-Term Outcome of Benign Thyroid Nodules – An 11-Year Cohort Study. Endocr Pract. Published 25 June 2025. doi:10.1016/j.eprac.2025.06.016

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