The rapidly increasing incidence of type 2 diabetes and macrovascular and microvascular complications disproportionately affects younger age groups: A decade of evidence from an international federated database
Authors' conclusion
Rising rates of T2D associated complications in younger adults signal an emerging epidemic of early-onset comorbidity with substantial lifetime burden. These findings emphasise the urgent need for earlier detection, aggressive risk factor management, and targeted prevention strategies in younger populations.
Study context
- Population
- Individuals with T2D in the TriNetX global federated database, 2012–2023
- Participants
- 7,918,666 individuals
- Exposure
- Age ≥85 years vs <35 years
- Outcome
- Incidence of T2D-associated complications (IHD, HF, cerebral infarction, neuropathy, nephropathy, retinopathy) by age group, as incidence odds ratios (IOR)
- Follow-up
- 2012 to 2023
Methodological detailsinternational federated database (TriNetX)
- International federated database (TriNetX)
Main finding
As reported in the abstract
IOR for T2D complications, ≥85 vs <35 years
- ≥ 85 years
- Incidence odds ratios (IOR), ischaemic heart disease (IHD), 2012 6.82 (95 % CI 6.40–7.26)
- ≥ 85 years
- IOR, IHD, 2023 2.27 (95 % CI 2.17–2.38)
- ≥ 85 years
- IOR, HF, 2012 5.38 (95 % CI 5.03–5.75)
- ≥ 85 years
- IOR, HF, 2023 1.80 (95 % CI 1.72–1.89)
- ≥ 85 years
- IOR, cerebral infarction, 2012 3.06 (95 % CI 2.76–3.40)
- ≥ 85 years
- IOR, cerebral infarction, 2023 1.45 (95 % CI 1.34–1.57)
- ≥ 85 years
- IOR, neuropathy, 2012 0.84 (95 % CI 0.74–0.95)
- ≥ 85 years
- IOR, neuropathy, 2023 0.47 (95 % CI 0.44–0.49)
- ≥ 85 years
- IOR, nephropathy, 2012 1.14 (95 % CI 1.03–1.27)
- ≥ 85 years
- IOR, nephropathy, 2023 0.90 (95 % CI 0.87–0.94)
- ≥ 85 years
- IOR, retinopathy, 2012 0.56 (95 % CI 0.50–0.63)
- ≥ 85 years
- IOR, retinopathy, 2023 0.27 (95 % CI 0.25–0.29)
Observational data: associations, not effects.
Original publication
The rapidly increasing incidence of type 2 diabetes and macrovascular and microvascular complications disproportionately affects younger age groups: A decade of evidence from an international federated database. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. Published 24 August 2025. doi:10. 1016/ j. diabres. 2025. 112431
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