Endocrine oncology

Prospective Validation of American Thyroid Association (ATA) Risk Score for Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: An ITCO Real-World Study

J Clin Endocrinol MetabPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Our study confirms the favorable initial outcome of microPTC in a large series. We demonstrate that the ATA risk classification is reliable in predicting biochemical and structural persistence in patients with microPTC. Distant metastases, although rare, remain the best predictor of structural persistence at 1-year follow-up. These findings underscore the importance of tailored management strategies based on comprehensive risk stratification, rather than solely on tumor size.

Study context

Population
Patients with histologically diagnosed papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), consecutively enrolled in the Italian Thyroid Cancer Observatory, with complete pathological, clinical, treatment and 1-year follow-up data
Participants
5,038 patients
Exposure
MicroPTC vs macrocarcinoma
  • microPTCn = 2,345
Outcome
Predictors of biochemical and structural incomplete response in microPTC
Follow-up
1 year after initial treatment
Methodological detailsmulticentre registry, consecutively enrolled, real-world
  • Multicentre registry
  • Consecutively enrolled
  • Real-world

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Response to treatment in microPTC · 1 year

Biochemical response in microPTC

5%

Structural incomplete response (SIR) in microPTC

2.3%

Distant metastases at diagnosis as predictor of SIR in microPTC, OR

5.13

95% CI 1.11–23.73P = .04

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Baseline risk features of microPTC · diagnosis

ATA high risk
3%
Distant metastases at diagnosis
1%

Predictor of SIR, subgroup treated by total thyroidectomy and RAI · 1 year

Subgroup n
925
ATA high risk as predictor of SIR, OR
5.47 (95% CI 1.42-21.04, P = .01)

Original publication

Prospective Validation of ATA Risk Score for Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: An ITCO Real-World Study. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. Published 1 April 2025. doi:10.1210/clinem/dgaf190

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