Type 2 & other diabetes

Prognostic stratification of cardiovascular risk and cardiac remodeling in prediabetes: a multimodal analysis comparing ADA and WHO/IEC diagnostic criteria

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Cohort study with Mendelian randomization analysis

Authors' conclusion

These findings highlight the differential prognostic utility of ADA and WHO/IEC criteria for cardiovascular risk stratification in prediabetes.

Study context

Population
Participants without baseline cardiovascular disease (CVD), with complete glycemic and relevant assessment data
Participants
278,697 participants
Exposure
Prediabetes vs normoglycemia
Outcome
Incident CVD
Follow-up
13.5 years
Methodological detailsmultivariable-adjusted, exploratory CMR substudy
  • Multivariable-adjusted
  • Exploratory CMR substudy

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Each group vs normoglycemiaHazard ratio (95% CI)
Prediabetes (ADA)
1.14(1.12–1.16)
Prediabetes (WHO/IEC)
1.23(1.19–1.27)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Mortality

Stronger mortality associations in WHO/IEC-defined prediabetes

Mendelian randomization (MR): genetically predicted prediabetes and outcomes

CVD, OR
1.01 (1.01-1.02) (95% CI)
Coronary heart disease, OR
1.09 (1.02-1.17) (95% CI)
MI, OR
1.12 (1.06-1.19) (95% CI)
Stroke, OR
1.06 (1.02-1.10) (95% CI)
Primary hypertension, OR
1.01 (1.01-1.02) (95% CI)

Cardiac remodeling (CMR substudy, n = 2512)

Early concentric LV remodeling suggested, particularly under WHO/IEC criteria
  • Exploratory

Genetic susceptibility strata

Risks consistently observed across genetic susceptibility strata; no significant interaction

Original publication

Prognostic stratification of cardiovascular risk and cardiac remodeling in prediabetes: a multimodal analysis comparing ADA and WHO/IEC diagnostic criteria. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 3 March 2026. doi:10.1186/s12933-026-03123-1

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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