Prevalence and changes of childhood overweight across China and its provinces from 2000 to 2030
Authors' conclusion
Childhood obesity in China has become a major public health problem with a steadily rising prevalence. This study underscores the urgent need for evidence-based policy and clinical interventions to stem the tide of obesity in Chinese preschool children.
Study context
- Population
- Children under 5 years of age across China and its provinces, 2000–2019 (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) estimates)
- Outcome
- Prevalence of childhood overweight (including obesity)
- Follow-up
- 2000 to 2019, projected to 2030
Methodological detailsmodel-based geostatistical approach, 5 × 5 km resolution, Joinpoint Regression, polynomial regression projection
- Model-based geostatistical approach
- 5 × 5 km resolution
- Joinpoint Regression
- Polynomial regression projection
Main finding
As reported in the abstract
Overweight prevalence among children under 5 years · 2000 to 2019
Overweight prevalence in 2000
17.9%
95% CI 14.9 to 21.3
Overweight prevalence in 2019
22.1%
95% CI 14.9 to 30.9
Further findings
Projected overweight prevalence · up to 2030
- Projected share of children in China overweight by 2030
- 25.1% (95% CI: 23.2 to 27.0)
Provinces on track to meet China's obesity prevention and control targets by 2030
- Provinces on track (Shanxi and Inner Mongolia), of 31
- 2
Overweight burden across 33 provincial-level administrative units · 2000 to 2019
- Greatest burdens in northeastern China and Hunan, Hong Kong and Macao
Original publication
Prevalence and changes of childhood overweight across China and its provinces from 2000 to 2030. Int J Obes (Lond). Published 27 June 2025. doi:10. 1038/ s41366-025-01813-6
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