Obesity

Predicting 10‐year risk of type 2 diabetes in Chinese people with overweight or obesity treated with Tirzepatide: Post hoc analysis of SURMOUNT ‐ CN trial

Diabetes Obes MetabPublished Secondary analysis of the SURMOUNT-CN randomised trial

Authors' conclusion

Tirzepatide was associated with significantly reduced predicted 10-year risk of T2D among SURMOUNT-CN participants with obesity or overweight, irrespective of baseline BMI and prediabetes status.

Study context

Population
Chinese participants with obesity or overweight from the SURMOUNT-CN trial
Participants
59 / 53 / 57
Comparison
Tirzepatide 10 mg or 15 mg vs placebo
  • Tirzepatide 10 mgn = 59
  • Tirzepatide 15 mgn = 53
  • Placebon = 57reference
Primary endpoint
Change in 10-year predicted T2D risk (QDiabetes-2018 risk engine)
Follow-up
Baseline to week 52
Methodological detailspost hoc analysis
  • Post hoc analysis

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

LS mean predicted 10-year T2D risk change
Each group vs placeboDifference in LS mean risk change, % (95% CI)
Tirzepatide 10 mg
−3.2(−4.2% to −2.2%)
Tirzepatide 15 mg
−3.4(−4.4% to −2.4%)
Tirzepatide 10 mg: Least square (LS) mean predicted T2D risk from baseline to week 52
5.3% to 1.2%
Tirzepatide 15 mg: LS mean predicted T2D risk from baseline to week 52
4.9% to 1.0%
Placebo: LS mean predicted T2D risk from baseline to week 52
5.8% to 4.5%

Further findings

Predicted risk reduction in subgroups by baseline BMI and prediabetes status

Significantly greater predicted risk reductions for tirzepatide than placebo in all subgroups

Original publication

Predicting 10‐year risk of type 2 diabetes in Chinese people with overweight or obesity treated with Tirzepatide: Post hoc analysis of SURMOUNT ‐ CN trial. Diabetes Obes Metab. Published 6 May 2025. doi:10.1111/dom.16439

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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