Type 2 & other diabetes

Machine learning identification of risk factors for heart failure in patients with diabetes mellitus with metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD): the Silesia Diabetes-Heart Project

Cardiovasc DiabetolPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

A ML approach demonstrated high performance in identifying HF in patients with DM independently of their MASLD status, as well as both in patients with and without MASLD based on easy-to-obtain patient parameters.

Study context

Population
Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) with and without MASLD, Silesia Diabetes-Heart Project; mean age 58.85 ± SD 17.37 years; 48% women
Participants
2,000 patients
Outcome
Identification of HF risk (sensitivity, specificity, % correctly classified high- and low-risk patients)
Methodological detailsmachine learning, multiple logistic regression classifier, χ2 test feature selection with Monte Carlo strategy
  • Machine learning
  • Multiple logistic regression classifier
  • χ2 test feature selection with Monte Carlo strategy

Performance

As reported in the abstract

HF identification by machine learning (ML) model, all patients
Sensitivity
0.81
Specificity
0.70
AUC
0.84 (95% CI 0.82-0.86)
Selected features, all patients: age, type of DM, atrial fibrillation (AF), hyperuricemia, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)
5
Selected features, MASLD(+): AF, hyperuricemia, eGFR
3
Selected features, MASLD(-): age, eGFR
2

Further findings

Selected heart failure (HF) risk factors by MASLD status

MASLD(+): AF, hyperuricemia and eGFR
3 features
MASLD(-): age and eGFR
2 features

Original publication

Machine learning identification of risk factors for heart failure in patients with diabetes mellitus with metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD): the Silesia Diabetes-Heart Project. Cardiovasc Diabetol. Published 20 November 2023. doi:10.1186/s12933-023-02014-z

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