Type 1 diabetes

Longitudinal Assessment of Pancreas Volume by MRI Predicts Progression to Stage 3 Type 1 Diabetes

Diabetes CarePublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

These findings suggest that measures of pancreas volume and metabolism reflect distinct components of risk for developing stage 3 type 1 diabetes and that a combination of these measures may provide superior prediction than either alone.

Study context

Population
Multiple autoantibody-positive participants in the Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Pathway to Prevention study
Participants
65 participants
Exposure
Pancreas volume index (PVI) vs oral glucose tolerance testing (OGTT)-derived metabolic scores (Index60, DPTRS) vs PVI plus DPTRS for predicting progression to stage 3 T1D
Outcome
Prediction of progression to stage 3 T1D
Follow-up
Measurements at study entry
Methodological detailsmulticenter
  • Multicenter

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

AUC for predicting progression to stage 3 T1D · study entry
GroupAUC
PVI0.76
Index600.79
DPTRS0.79
PVI plus DPTRS0.91

AUC

PVI0.76
Index600.79
DPTRS0.79
PVI plus DPTRS0.91

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

PVI, Index60 and DPTRS at study entry: progressors (n=11) vs non-progressors (n=54)

PVI, Index60 and DPTRS all significantly different in progressors vs non-progressors
P < 0.005

Correlation of PVI with metabolic testing

PVI did not correlate with metabolic testing

Longitudinal change in progressors

PVI declined longitudinally in the 11 individuals diagnosed with stage 3 T1D, whereas Index60 and DPTRS increased

Original publication

Longitudinal Assessment of Pancreas Volume by MRI Predicts Progression to Stage 3 Type 1 Diabetes. Diabetes Care. Published 27 December 2023. doi:10.2337/dc23-1681

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