Type 2 & other diabetes

Joint triglyceride–glucose index and single-point insulin sensitivity estimator phenotypes and diabetes outcomes across three populations

Diabetes Res Clin PractPublished Analysis of longitudinal studies with cross-sectional secondary evidence

Main finding · Diabetes-related outcomes, CHARLS (median-based)Result — go to the resultOdds ratio 2.65 95% CI 2.05–3.45

Authors' conclusion

High TyG/low SPISE was associated with diabetes-related outcomes across the three populations. SPISE provided incremental information beyond TyG, with gains varying by comparator and study design.

Study context

Population
Participants without baseline diabetes from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), with National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) as secondary cross-sectional evidencethree populations · CHARLS 4,933 · ELSA (wave 6) 2,703 · NHANES 10,080
Exposure
Joint TyG and single-point insulin sensitivity estimator (SPISE) phenotypes and diabetes-related outcomes
Outcome
Diabetes-related outcomes, CHARLS (median-based)
Methodological detailsadjusted logistic, Cox, and survey-weighted logistic models, sample medians and literature-based fixed thresholds defined phenotypes, ELSA wave 4 sensitivity
  • Adjusted logistic, Cox, and survey-weighted logistic models
  • Sample medians and literature-based fixed thresholds defined phenotypes
  • ELSA wave 4 sensitivity

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Odds ratio

2.65

95% CI 2.05–3.45

High TyG/low SPISE
odds ratio 2.65 (95% CI 2.05–3.45)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Diabetes-related outcomes, ELSA (median-based)

Hazard ratio (CI)
High TyG/low SPISEComparator not stated3.57 (2.04–6.25)
High TyG/low SPISEComparator not stated6.41 (3.98–10.33)

Prevalent diabetes, NHANES (median-based)

Odds ratio (CI)
High TyG/low SPISEComparator not stated6.61 (5.40–8.08)

Dysglycemia, NHANES (median-based)

Odds ratio (CI)
High TyG/low SPISEComparator not stated4.05 (3.47–4.72)

Fixed-threshold associations

Fixed-threshold associations retained the adverse direction

Incremental fit

Adding TyG and interaction to SPISE did not improve CHARLS fit
P = 0.251
SPISE improved fit beyond TyG

Original publication

Joint triglyceride–glucose index and single-point insulin sensitivity estimator phenotypes and diabetes outcomes across three populations. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. Published 11 November 2026. doi:10.1016/j.diabres.2026.113657

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